Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Polonia Warsaw		Legia II

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	3.2
	1.8	3.75	3.4
	1.78	3.8	3.5
	1.85	3.97	3.64
	1.85	3.74	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)	3.81 ↓ (3.85)	3.46 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
49.9%

Draw
23.9%

Legia II
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

23%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

18.6%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Legia II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Polonia Warsaw - Legia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 and 11).

Polonia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Legia II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Polonia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Polonia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.09.21	Znicz Biała Piska - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
18.09.21	Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
11.09.21	Kutno - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
08.09.21	Polonia Warsaw - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Ursus Warszawa - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWW
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.09.21	Legia II - Unia Skierniewice	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Wissa Szczuczyn - Legia II	0:0 ✺
11.09.21	Legia II - Legionovia Legionowo	1:1 ✺
08.09.21	Wikielec - Legia II	1:0 ✺
05.09.21	Legia II - ŁKS Łódź II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.06.21	Legia II - Polonia Warsaw	0:3
08.05.21	Polonia Warsaw - Legia II	1:2
14.11.20	Polonia Warsaw - Legia II	1:0
21.08.19	Legia II - Polonia Warsaw	3:0
29.05.19	Polonia Warsaw - Legia II	3:1
15.08.18	Legia II - Polonia Warsaw	2:1
09.06.18	Legia II - Polonia Warsaw	1:2

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