Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 4

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Grimsta IP (Stockholm)

Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play


	Brommapojkarna		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.9	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.3
	1.92	3.75	4	Watch
	1.95	3.68	4.12
	1.95	3.57	3.9	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.3
	1.92	3.51	3.81	Watch
	1.91	3.7	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.13)	3.53 ↑ (3.37)	3.79 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brommapojkarna
48%

Draw
26.9%

Värnamo
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brommapojkarna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brommapojkarna than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Brommapojkarna - Värnamo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brommapojkarna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Brommapojkarna will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Blazevic D. (G) 21. Timossi A. 2. Karlsson H. 3. Hovland E. (C) 6. Zanden O. 24. Ackermann K. 5. Ngouali S. 19. Irandust D. 10. Odefalk W. 7. Lind V. 23. Alladoh E.	1. Keto H. (G) 5. Larsson V. 2. Rapp J. 24. Grozdanic E. 3. Bjornstrom A. 22. Thern S. (C) 8. Le Roux L. 28. Junior Adjei F. 7. Johansson C. 18. Alsalkhadi M. 10. Zeljkovic A.
Substitutes
39. Bahoui N. 27. Barslund K. 40. Cavallius L. (G) 77. Christensen F. 32. Cotton O. 34. Isso D. 17. Kurochkin A. 33. Oppong S. 20. Vetkal M.	6. Andersson H. 39. Andersson V. (G) 32. Bilalovic K. 17. Bozicevic F. 26. Johansson C. 9. Kalu J. 16. Lohikangas A. 4. Mohammed R. 20. Winsth F.
Coaches
Kristiansson U.	Sibila F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Timossi A. ⚽, Irandust D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Larsson V. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Alladoh E. ⚽, Timossi A. (A),
66', 2 - 1, Junior Adjei F. ⚽,
75', Andersson H. 🟨,
78', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Kalu J. ↑,
78', Johansson C. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
78', Bjornstrom A. ↓, Lohikangas A. ↑,
80', Irandust D. ↓, Christensen F. ↑,
81', Odefalk W. ↓, Barslund K. ↑,
82', Ackermann K. 🟨,
84', 2 - 2, Thern S. ⚽,
89', Zanden O. ↓, Kurochkin A. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Barslund K. ⚽, Timossi A. (A),
90+3', Timossi A. ↓, Cotton O. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brommapojkarna won 2.

Recent matches Brommapojkarna is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Värnamo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brommapojkarna will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Brommapojkarna: Orqvist R. (Inactive) Tahwildaran L. (Knee Injury) Vasic N. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Brommapojkarna won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Brommapojkarna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Brommapojkarna
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.04.25	Sirius - Brommapojkarna	0:3 ✺
06.04.25	Brommapojkarna - Hammarby	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Häcken - Brommapojkarna	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Örebro - Brommapojkarna	1:3 ✺
14.03.25	Brommapojkarna - Sandviken	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWW
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.04.25	Värnamo - IFK Göteborg	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Degerfors - Värnamo	1:0 ✺
31.03.25	Värnamo - Sirius	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
28.02.25	AIK - Värnamo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
03.11.24	Brommapojkarna - Värnamo	0:1
12.05.24	Värnamo - Brommapojkarna	1:1
05.08.23	Brommapojkarna - Värnamo	0:2
04.05.23	Värnamo - Brommapojkarna	0:1
Swedish Superettan
20.08.17	Brommapojkarna - Värnamo	2:1
18.04.17	Värnamo - Brommapojkarna	0:1
21.09.15	Värnamo - Brommapojkarna	2:1

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