Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 9

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Grimsta IP (Stockholm)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Brommapojkarna		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.9
	1.93	3.55	4
	1.93	3.69	4.18
	1.91	3.3	3.7	Watch
	1.92	3.65	3.88	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	3.53 ↓ (3.58)	3.94 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brommapojkarna
49.3%

Draw
26.8%

Varbergs BoIS
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brommapojkarna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brommapojkarna than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Brommapojkarna - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: Brommapojkarna will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

Brommapojkarna has the most likely position - 9 (11.34%), project points - 38, currently - 13, a small chance of relegated (9%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Varberg has the most likely position - 16 (48.16%), project points - 22, currently - 4, a good chance of relegated (74%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 15, importance 33, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brommapojkarna won 1.

Brommapojkarna in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Varberg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brommapojkarna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brommapojkarna is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Brommapojkarna to win the game is with odds 1.83.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Brommapojkarna won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Brommapojkarna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Brommapojkarna
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.05.23	Kalmar - Brommapojkarna	1:3 ✺
08.05.23	Brommapojkarna - IFK Göteborg	0:0 ✺
04.05.23	Värnamo - Brommapojkarna	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	Halmstad - Brommapojkarna	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Brommapojkarna - Mjällby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.8 WTWWW
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.05.23	Varbergs BoIS - Norrköping	1:3 ✺
09.05.23	Värnamo - Varbergs BoIS	3:1 ✺
04.05.23	Varbergs BoIS - Malmö	0:6 ✺
30.04.23	Varbergs BoIS - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Hammarby - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
08.03.20	Varbergs BoIS - Brommapojkarna	1:1
Swedish Superettan
27.10.19	Brommapojkarna - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
22.04.19	Varbergs BoIS - Brommapojkarna	3:0
13.08.17	Varbergs BoIS - Brommapojkarna	1:1
20.05.17	Brommapojkarna - Varbergs BoIS	3:0
20.07.15	Varbergs BoIS - Brommapojkarna	1:1
24.05.15	Brommapojkarna - Varbergs BoIS	0:0

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