Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 30

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Bromsgrove Sporting		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	7.1	4.35	1.35
	6.98	4.49	1.39
	7.27	4.76	1.39	Watch
	7.5	4	1.33
	7.6	4.45	1.34
	5.66	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.02 ↑ (5.27)	4.38 ↑ (4.26)	1.38 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromsgrove Sporting
13%

Draw
20.9%

Harborough Town
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

21.8%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

21.1%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromsgrove Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harborough Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Bromsgrove Sporting - Harborough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Morris A. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Carline G. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Robinson T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Bromsgrove has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Harborough is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Bromsgrove has had a series of away games.

In this match, Harborough is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bromsgrove won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bromsgrove won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bromsgrove: 3.94%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bromsgrove	9	7	1	1	17:8	9	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
14.03.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Stourbridge	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Kettering Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Sudbury Town	5:3 ✺
21.02.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Worcester City	0:1 ✺
17.02.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.03.26	Harborough Town - Real Bedford	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Bishops Stortford - Harborough Town	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Harborough Town - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Banbury United - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Harborough Town - Barwell	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.10.25	Harborough Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0
25.03.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Harborough Town	1:1
22.10.24	Harborough Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0

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