Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 32

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Bromsgrove Sporting		Worcester City

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.08
	3.6	3.51	1.86
	2.96	3.82	2.13
	2.95	3.52	2.09
	3.33	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)	3.59 ↑ (3.56)	2.02 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromsgrove Sporting
29.1%

Draw
25.5%

Worcester City
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.4%

25.5%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

24.9%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromsgrove Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Worcester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (+3%)

Bromsgrove Sporting - Worcester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Smalley B. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bromsgrove may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Worcester has had a series of home games.

Worcester will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bromsgrove won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21:11	10	27
20	Worcester	11	1	4	6	8:16	-8	7

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bromsgrove: 5.67% Worcester: 0.37%

Last Results with these Odds

Bromsgrove Sporting - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 27.44%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
17.02.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	Leiston - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Stamford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Barwell	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Real Bedford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTWL
- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
14.02.26	Worcester City - Sudbury Town	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Worcester City - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Worcester City - Stamford	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Worcester City - Banbury United	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Redditch United - Worcester City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.10.25	Worcester City - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0

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