Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 26

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Bromsgrove Sporting		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.15	2.28
	2.79	2.97	2.57
	2.72	3.35	2.48	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.45
	2.66	3.64	2.39
	2.71	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.84)	3.19 ↓ (3.37)	2.45 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromsgrove Sporting
33.8%

Draw
28.8%

Alvechurch
37.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

26.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

25.9%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromsgrove Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Guinan Z. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, Ngandu J. ⚽,
31', 0 - 3, Abbey J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 3, Wynne G. ⚽,
67', 1 - 4, Sullivan C. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 18)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bromsgrove won 1.

Bromsgrove has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alvechurch's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bromsgrove won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bromsgrove won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21:11	10	27
8	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18:6	12	21

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bromsgrove: 5.67% Alvechurch: 2.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Bromsgrove Sporting - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 31.96%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Alvechurch - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.14%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
14.02.26	Leiston - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Stamford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Barwell	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Real Bedford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Bury Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWLT
- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
14.02.26	Spalding United - Alvechurch	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Quorn - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Alvechurch - Bury Town	1:3 ✺
20.01.26	Leiston - Alvechurch	3:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Yeovil Town - Alvechurch	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
12.08.25	Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:2
11.03.25	Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1
30.11.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch	0:2
06.04.24	Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0
21.11.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch	1:1
14.02.23	Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:0
16.08.22	Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch	3:1

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