Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Bromsgrove Sporting		Lowestoft Town

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.8	3.4
	1.81	3.85	3.45
	1.87	4	3.58
	1.83	3.78	3.48
	1.81	3.85	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.14)	3.86 ↑ (3.47)	3.47 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromsgrove Sporting
50.1%

Draw
23.6%

Lowestoft Town
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

23.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromsgrove Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bromsgrove Sporting's performance.

Lowestoft Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bromsgrove Sporting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lowestoft Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bromsgrove Sporting - Lowestoft Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Robinson T. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Lycett C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 3 - 0, Robinson T. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Cole T. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Bromsgrove is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lowestoft has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lowestoft could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bromsgrove will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bromsgrove won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:6 (average 2.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Bromsgrove won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 4.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
29.03.25	Redditch United - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
25.03.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	St Ives Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:3 ✺
11.03.25	Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWL
- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
01.04.25	Lowestoft Town - Banbury United	2:5 ✺
29.03.25	Lowestoft Town - Spalding United	0:5 ✺
25.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Lowestoft Town	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Halesowen Town - Lowestoft Town	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Lowestoft Town - Kettering Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
24.08.24	Lowestoft Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0
29.01.22	Bromsgrove Sporting - Lowestoft Town	3:1
09.10.21	Lowestoft Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1
08.02.20	Bromsgrove Sporting - Lowestoft Town	6:0
14.09.19	Lowestoft Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:1

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