Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maimonides Park (New York, NY) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:30	Disney+
Brazil	19:30	Disney+
Canada	18:30	fubo Sports Network
Chile	19:30	Disney+
Colombia	17:30	Disney+
Mexico	16:30	Disney+
Peru	17:30	Disney+
Uruguay	19:30	Disney+
Usa	18:30	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	18:30	Disney+


	Brooklyn		Birmingham Legion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.40	2.20
	2.38	3.50	2.43
	2.93	3.88	2.28
	2.58	3.69	2.43	Watch
	2.60	3.70	2.45
	2.90	3.68	2.21	Watch
	2.75	3.55	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (1.94)	3.63 ↓ (3.9)	2.32 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brooklyn
34.6%

Draw
25.5%

Birmingham Legion
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.9%

23.8%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

23.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brooklyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brooklyn's form might have worsened.

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham Legion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brooklyn than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brooklyn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brooklyn - Birmingham Legion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee J. (G) 5. Pinto M. 92. Vancaeyezeele T. 6. Latinovich V. 3. Gabriel Alves 86. Okiyoshi T. 7. McNamara T. (C) 8. Klein J. 11. Servania J. 56. Olney JR C. 95. Kante A.	1. Koleilat J. (G) 21. Tregarthen S. 3. Kavita P. 32. Diop H. 11. McCartney D. 6. McIllhatton S. 18. Antwi S. (C) 7. Saucedo S. 15. Pasher T. 19. Diarbian G. 9. Damus R.
Substitutes
30. Burns L. (G) 98. Da Silva P. 27. Mangione P. 23. McLaughlin R. 29. Obregon J. 4. Romeo R. 19. Stojanovic S.	77. Brown N. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 20. Paterson AJ 10. Shashoua S. 16. Vassell P. 17. Williams R.
Coaches
LeBlanc M.	Heaps J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Pinto M. ⚽, Servania J. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Tregarthen S. ⚽, Saucedo S. (A),
26', Gabriel Alves 🟨,
43', Kavita P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Klein J. ↓, Mangione P. ↑,
52', Saucedo S. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
61', Kante A. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
61', McNamara T. ↓, McLaughlin R. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Tregarthen S. ⚽,
64', Damus R. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
64', Pasher T. ↓, Vassell P. ↑,
67', Mangione P. 🟨,
68', Diop H. 🟨,
74', Diop H. ↓, Paterson AJ ↑,
74', Diarbian G. ↓, Shashoua S. ↑,
77', Pinto M. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
84', McLaughlin R. ↓, Romeo R. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).

Brooklyn is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Birmingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Brooklyn has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Birmingham Legion - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brooklyn FC
USL Championship
17.10.26	Hartford Athletic - Brooklyn	2:3 ✺
03.10.26	Brooklyn - Rhode Island	1:3 ✺
30.09.26	Brooklyn - Detroit City	1:3 ✺
23.09.26	Birmingham Legion - Brooklyn	4:0 ✺
19.09.26	Brooklyn - Tulsa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLLLT
- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
18.10.26	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	0:0 ✺
14.10.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Birmingham Legion	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Detroit City - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
23.09.26	Birmingham Legion - Brooklyn	4:0 ✺
19.09.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.09.26	Birmingham Legion - Brooklyn	4:0

Brooklyn - Birmingham Legion