The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Detroit City 56%
Draw 24%
Birmingham Legion 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
24.2%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
23%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Detroit City - Birmingham Legion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 3. Stanley A. 8. Diop A. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 23. Williams K. 21. Rodriguez M. 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D.
1. Koleilat J. (G) 27. Washington B. 77. Brown N. 32. Diop H. 11. McCartney D. 18. Antwi S. 10. Shashoua S. 17. Williams R. (C) 16. Vassell P. 19. Diarbian G. 9. Damus R.
Substitutes
12. Bryant M. 10. Cedeno J. 15. Dalou A. 19. Niang C. 91. Saldana C. (G) 33. Silva T. 6. Williams R.
30. Hernandez J. 34. Lester J. 6. McIllhatton S. 12. McMullen T. (G) 15. Pasher T. 7. Saucedo S. 21. Tregarthen S.
Coaches
Dichio D.
Heaps J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Hernandez-Foster K. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Vassell P. 🟨,
66', Williams K. ↓, Cedeno J. ↑,
66', Diop A. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
70', Damus R. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
70', Vassell P. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
75', Diarbian G. 🟨,
76', Diouf A. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
82', Dalou A. 🟨,
82', McCartney D. ↓, Pasher T. ↑,
87', Rodriguez M. ↓, Niang C. ↑,
90+1', McIllhatton S. 🟨,
90+6', Smith D. 🟨,
Preview
Detroit City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Birmingham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Detroit City for this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Detroit City has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:9 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Detroit City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).