Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Foster S. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	18:00	Disney+
Brazil	18:00	Disney+
Chile	18:00	Disney+
Colombia	16:00	Disney+
Mexico	15:00	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	16:00	Disney+
Uruguay	18:00	Disney+
Usa	17:00	ESPN App, ESPN+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	17:00	Disney+


	Birmingham Legion		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.60	3.10
	1.98	3.55	3.2
	1.99	4.07	3.39
	1.94	4.03	3.25	Watch
	1.92	3.95	3.3
	1.89	3.75	3.22	Watch
	1.97	3.6	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.07)	3.79 ↓ (3.99)	3.23 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
47.3%

Draw
24.2%

Loudoun United
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

23.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

23.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koleilat J. (G) 77. Brown N. 27. Washington B. (C) 20. Paterson AJ 11. McCartney D. 6. McIllhatton S. 18. Antwi S. 16. Vassell P. 10. Shashoua S. 19. Diarbian G. 9. Damus R.	41. Bandre E. (G) 33. Piras L. 2. Adnan N. 5. Mazzaferro S. 6. Awuah K. 8. Murphy J. (C) 28. Zouhir R. 10. Santos P. 23. Watts A. 11. Aboukoura A. 9. Davis III E.
Substitutes
3. Kavita P. 34. Lester J. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 15. Pasher T. 7. Saucedo S. 21. Tregarthen S. 17. Williams R.	38. Barrus L. 17. Butts L. 31. Donovan P. (G) 18. Lomtadze G. 7. Niyongabire P. 4. O'Connor A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brown N. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
46', Davis III E. ↓, Butts L. ↑,
59', Piras L. ↓, O'Connor A. ↑,
66', Vassell P. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
66', Damus R. ↓, Pasher T. ↑,
71', McIllhatton S. 🟨,
72', Shashoua S. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
74', Santos P. ↓, Lomtadze G. ↑,
81', Aboukoura A. ↓, Niyongabire P. ↑,
90+1', Diarbian G. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Loudoun may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Loudoun has had a run of games away from home.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Birmingham holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:16 (averaging 2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Birmingham against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 13:6 goals (averaging 2.6:1.2 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
14.10.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Birmingham Legion	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Detroit City - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
23.09.26	Birmingham Legion - Brooklyn	4:0 ✺
19.09.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion	4:0 ✺
16.09.26	Birmingham Legion - New Mexico United	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLT
- Loudoun United
USL Championship
14.10.26	Rhode Island - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Miami - Loudoun United	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Loudoun United - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Loudoun United	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Louisville City - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.06.26	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	1:1
04.04.26	Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion	2:2
04.10.25	Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion	0:1
08.03.25	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	1:3
14.09.24	Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion	4:2
07.04.24	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	3:1
21.06.23	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	2:0

Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United