Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Chile	13:00	Disney+
Colombia	11:00	Disney+
Mexico	10:00	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	ESPN App, ESPN+, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+


	Birmingham Legion		Brooklyn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.50	4.20	4.75
	1.55	4.25	4.6
	1.58	4.74	4.9
	1.59	4.52	4.54	Watch
	1.55	4.65	4.7
	1.63	4.26	4.5	Watch
	1.66	3.95	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	4.37 ↑ (3.65)	4.58 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
58.6%

Draw
21.2%

Brooklyn
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

24.5%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham Legion's performance.

Brooklyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brooklyn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham Legion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brooklyn than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brooklyn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Birmingham Legion - Brooklyn Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Birmingham (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Birmingham Legion will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koleilat J. (G) 21. Tregarthen S. 77. Brown N. 32. Diop H. 11. McCartney D. 18. Antwi S. 10. Shashoua S. 16. Vassell P. 15. Pasher T. 19. Diarbian G. 17. Williams R. (C)	30. Burns L. (G) 5. Pinto M. 24. Frogson C. 6. Latinovich V. 13. Nishikawa S. 86. Okiyoshi T. 7. McNamara T. (C) 19. Stojanovic S. 21. Fontana A. 56. Olney JR C. 95. Kante A.
Substitutes
9. Damus R. 30. Hernandez J. 34. Lester J. 6. McIllhatton S. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 7. Saucedo S.	98. Da Silva P. 8. Klein J. 1. Lee J. (G) 27. Mangione P. 23. McLaughlin R. 29. Obregon J. 4. Romeo R.
Coaches
Heaps J.	LeBlanc M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Vassell P. ⚽,
19', Latinovich V. 🟨,
41', Pasher T. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Stojanovic S. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Ngoma S. ⚽, Vassell P. (A),
59', Nishikawa S. ↓, McLaughlin R. ↑,
59', Kante A. ↓, Mangione P. ↑,
67', Tregarthen S. ↓, Damus R. ↑,
67', Shashoua S. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
77', McNamara T. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
79', Latinovich V. ↓, Romeo R. ↑,
82', Vassell P. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Saucedo S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 4 - 0, Damus R. ⚽, Diarbian G. (A),

Preview

Birmingham is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Brooklyn have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Brooklyn could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Birmingham for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Birmingham has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
19.09.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion	4:0 ✺
16.09.26	Birmingham Legion - New Mexico United	4:4 ✺
12.09.26	Birmingham Legion - Charleston Battery	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTTL
- Brooklyn FC
USL Championship
19.09.26	Brooklyn - Tulsa	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Indy Eleven - Brooklyn	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Brooklyn - Miami	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Brooklyn	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Brooklyn - Sporting Jacksonville	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTLW

Birmingham Legion - Brooklyn