Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.55	2.9
	2.95	2.7	2.6
	2.8	2.75	2.7
	2.9	2.65	2.65
	3.12	2.65	2.88
	2.88	2.7	2.62
	3.04	2.61	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.68)	2.66 ↓ (2.89)	2.72 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
31.1%

Draw
34.9%

Instituto Córdoba
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

32.8%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

33.4%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	57.1%	35.7%

Brown de Adrogué - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Instituto will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.05.22	Sacachispas - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
08.05.22	Brown de Adrogué - Mitre	0:3 ✺
03.05.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.04.22	Atlético Tucumán - Brown de Adrogué	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.22	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWLT
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.05.22	Instituto Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
09.05.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Instituto Córdoba	0:0 ✺
25.04.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Instituto Córdoba - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
04.04.22	Mitre - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.10.21	Instituto Córdoba - Brown de Adrogué	2:2
28.06.21	Brown de Adrogué - Instituto Córdoba	2:0
12.12.20	Brown de Adrogué - Instituto Córdoba	1:1
08.03.20	Instituto Córdoba - Brown de Adrogué	1:1
14.09.19	Brown de Adrogué - Instituto Córdoba	0:3
10.02.19	Instituto Córdoba - Brown de Adrogué	0:1
23.09.17	Brown de Adrogué - Instituto Córdoba	1:0

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