Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.4
	2.25	2.95	3.2
	2.3	2.65	3.45
	2.4	2.82	3.67
	2.25	2.88	3.3
	2.26	3.13	3.4
	2.25	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)	2.93 ↓ (3.03)	3.38 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
40.7%

Draw
31.8%

Independiente Rivadavia
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

32.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Rivadavia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 1.

Recent matches Brown de Adrogué is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente Rivadavia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente Rivadavia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brown de Adrogué will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.23	Deportivo Maipú - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Deportivo Madryn - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
03.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTTT
- Independiente Rivadavia
Copa Argentina
26.04.23	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
08.04.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente Rivadavia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.22	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
08.11.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
10.07.21	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
17.03.19	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0
19.11.17	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0
29.07.17	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0
18.03.17	Independiente Rivadavia - Brown de Adrogué	0:4

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