The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brown de Adrogué 40.3%
Draw 32.4%
Acassuso 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
31.4%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
32.2%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Brown de Adrogué - Acassuso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Vivas G. 2. Aguirre C. 6. Lugarzo L. 3. Sanchez A. 8. Guerrero B. 5. Enrique F. 10. Sproat M. 11. Lovazzano L. 7. Lopez B. 9. Meaurio N.
1. Dominguez J. (G) 4. Etcheverri R. 2. Serrizuela J. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 8. Dubini K. 5. De Stefano D. 10. Hermoso A. 11. Habib T. 7. Ramirez U. 9. Escalante D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Dubini K. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Meaurio N. ⚽,
45+1', Escalante D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', De Stefano D. 🟨,
65', Escalante D. ↓, Senn F. ↑,
65', Hermoso A. ↓, Mino B. ↑,
69', Guerrero B. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
69', Lovazzano L. ↓, Bogado J. ↑,
72', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
77', Habib T. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
77', Dubini K. ↓, Mino L. ↑,
78', Meaurio N. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
79', Canete J. ↓, Enrique F. ↑,
81', Ramirez U. ↓, Scacchi S. ↑,
Preview
Brown de Adrogué has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Acassuso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Acassuso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Brown de Adrogué could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
Including home match between the teams, Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Acassuso - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.59%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.