The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brown de Adrogué 32.2%
Draw 32.2%
Deportivo Laferrere 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
31.5%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
32.6%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Deportivo Laferrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Laferrere Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wysocki M. (G) 2. Aguirre C. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Bogado J. 11. Ferrario F. 9. Lopez B. 10. Noble M. 5. Robles E. 3. Rodriguez N. 6. Sanchez L. 8. Silva J.
1. Libares T. (G) 11. Benitez A. 6. Cavoret I. 3. Mamani L. 9. Moran J. 10. Ortiz F. 4. Portillo B. 7. Romero F. 2. Solis D. 5. Trejo E. 8. Vivas N.
Substitutes
16. Castano A. 14. Cesare L. 18. Galeano V. 17. Galvan L. 12. Giovini S. (G) 19. Gonzalez A. 20. Meaurio N. 15. Ortiz A. 13. Pieres M.
15. Atardo G. 16. Denis J. 13. Digangi M. 17. Digion R. 12. Martinez S. (G) 18. Ortiz A. 19. Rebecchi L. 14. Redondo J. P. 21. Vega D. 20. Visco A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Romero F. ⚽,
28', Moran J. 🟨,
43', Sanchez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez N. ↓, Meaurio N. ↑,
67', Baldunciel L. ↓, Galvan L. ↑,
67', Silva J. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
77', Romero F. ↓, Atardo G. ↑,
77', Moran J. ↓, Denis J. ↑,
77', Ortiz F. ↓, Visco A. ↑,
80', Bogado J. ↓, Cesare L. ↑,
80', Noble M. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
84', Benitez A. ↓, Digangi M. ↑,
85', Atardo G. 🟨,
90+5', Mamani L. ↓, Redondo J. P. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 12).
Brown de Adrogué has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Laferrere is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Laferrere
38
13
12
13
46:50
-4
51
19
Brown Adrogue
38
8
15
15
24:37
-13
39
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.63%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.