Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 19

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Novelli L. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	3
	2.5	2.85	2.87
	2.4	2.8	3.2
	2.67	2.81	3.2
	2.5	2.75	3
	2.52	2.99	3.06
	2.5	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.48)	2.87 ↑ (2.84)	3.05 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
36.8%

Draw
32.6%

Deportivo Riestra
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

32.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez H. (G) 4. Rosales P. 2. Kippes A. 6. Heredia M. 3. Sayavedra R. 8. Sangiovani R. 5. Jerez Silva L. (C) 11. Perinciolo F. 7. Lovazzano L. 10. Vidal P. 9. Mendoza J.	1. Arce I. (G) 2. Ramirez P. 3. Tovo E. 4. Iribarren N. 5. Dematei N. 6. Torres F. 9. Celiz M. (C) 8. Goitia J. 7. Antonini F. 10. Romero L. 11. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
17. Belleggia L. 18. Castillo L. 12. Diaz F. (G) 19. Gissi K. 20. Lavezzi A. 13. Lopez T. 16. Nouet F. 15. Pacchini J. 14. Zaragoza L.	20. Acuna W. 12. Aguero F. (G) 17. Alarcon G. 13. Benitez G. 14. Benitez J. 18. Bravo G. 19. Ortiz M. 15. Villoldo T. 16. Zaninovic M.
Coaches
Vico P.	Marchesi W.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 1.

Brown de Adrogué is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.06.23	Racing de Córdoba - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
28.05.23	Brown de Adrogué - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Brown de Adrogué - Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWTT
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.06.23	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
07.06.23	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.06.23	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
29.05.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Riestra	2:2 ✺
20.05.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.02.23	Deportivo Riestra - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
19.09.22	Deportivo Riestra - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
21.10.19	Deportivo Riestra - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
31.03.18	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
Argentinian Primera B
23.09.15	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Riestra	3:0
05.05.15	Deportivo Riestra - Brown de Adrogué	1:0

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