Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 17

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Possi Y. (Arg)


	Deportivo Riestra		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.3
	2.25	2.9	3.25
	2.3	2.85	3.4
	2.29	2.94	3.72
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.1	3.18	3.74
	2.27	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.51)	3.01 ↓ (3.23)	3.44 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
41.8%

Draw
31%

Gimnasia Jujuy
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Riestra's performance.

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia Jujuy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia Jujuy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Riestra: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aguero F. (G) 3. Benitez J. 8. Celiz M. 5. Dematei N. 11. Fernandez G. 9. Goitia J. 7. Landriel L. 4. Murillo Yaison 2. Ramirez P. 10. Romero L. 6. Zaninovic M.	1. Chiarini J. (G) 4. Cazula A. 10. Chiozza L. 5. Cordoba J. 6. Cosaro G. 3. Endrizzi E. 8. Juarez J. 11. Maidana F. 2. Pellerano H. 7. Rodriguez G. 9. Tevez J.
Substitutes
17. Alarcon G. 19. Batallini M. 14. Benitez G. 18. Bravo G. 16. Goya J. 20. Ortiz M. 12. Soria R. 13. Tovo E. 15. Villoldo T.	14. Abet A. 12. Akimenco T. (G) 20. Arganaraz P. 17. Casasola N. 19. Denis N. 16. Gonzalez E. 13. Hernandez S. 15. Soria H. 18. Velazquez R.
Coaches
Marchesi W.	Gomez M.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia Jujuy is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportivo Riestra will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Riestra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.05.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Riestra	2:2 ✺
20.05.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
15.05.23	Deportivo Riestra - Racing de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
08.05.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Tristán Suárez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTTTW
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.05.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
22.05.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
12.05.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
28.04.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Mitre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.05.22	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:4
07.02.20	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Riestra	0:1
18.08.19	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1
12.11.17	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Riestra	0:0

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