Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	Deportivo Riestra		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.1
	1.9	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.17	4.63
	1.93	3.17	4.64
	1.85	3.2	4.2
	1.92	3.28	4.25
	1.87	3.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.92)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	4.38 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
49.5%

Draw
29.2%

Quilmes
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 2. Goitia J. 3. Tovo E. 4. Iribarren N. 6. Dematei N. 5. Ramirez P. 8. Celiz M. (C) 7. Antonini F. 10. Romero L. 9. Acuna W. 11. Gonzalez Herrero R.	1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Lopez M. 2. Diaz G. 6. Giampaoli R. 3. Erquiaga I. 7. Sanabria M. 5. Rio M. 8. Calello A. 10. Colman I. 11. Batista A. 9. Anselmo F. (C)
Substitutes
12. Aguero F. (G) 13. Benitez G. 20. Fernandez G. 18. Landriel L. 14. Mac Eachen E. 17. Magallanes D. 19. Ortiz M. 15. Villoldo T. 16. Zaninovic M.	14. Bindella A. 19. Castro F. 13. Dominguez L. 15. Garcia M. 17. Gimenez M. 12. Glellel E. (G) 18. Lattanzio C. 16. Postigo J. 20. Sandoval T.
Coaches
Modolo M.	Fuscaldo A.

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 0.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Deportivo Riestra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Riestra is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.10.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Riestra	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Riestra	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Deportivo Riestra - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
02.10.23	Deportivo Riestra - Aldosivi	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Racing de Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWTWL
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.11.23	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Quilmes - Racing de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
29.09.23	Quilmes - Tristán Suárez	5:1 ✺
23.09.23	Chacarita Juniors - Quilmes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.06.23	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1
12.02.23	Quilmes - Deportivo Riestra	3:1
15.07.22	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1
25.07.21	Quilmes - Deportivo Riestra	2:1
15.03.21	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	0:1
16.11.19	Quilmes - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
14.10.17	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	0:1

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