Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 24

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Franklin A. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	3
	2.55	2.85	2.8
	2.6	2.8	2.9
	2.87	2.68	3.1
	2.62	2.75	2.8
	2.69	2.92	2.91	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.43)	2.82 ↓ (2.86)	2.92 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
35%

Draw
33%

Defensores de Belgrano
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

32.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

32.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	70%	20%

Guillermo Brown - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Defensores will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez R. (G) 7. Assennato T. 11. Fernandez M. 10. Garcia E. 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Olivera W. 9. Pino M. 5. Romero E. 6. Tecilla N. 3. Velasquez S. 8. Werro V.	1. Pietrobono I. (G) 7. Aguirre E. 5. Benitez A. 4. Bonacorso E. 8. Gutierrez I. 14. Levi M. 6. Moreira R. 11. Moyano P. 10. Salto C. 3. Sanchez S. 13. Torres D.
Coaches
Esmerado G.	Mayor C.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 12).

Guillermo Brown is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Defensores de Belgrano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guillermo Brown could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.07.23	Almirante Brown - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
25.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Güemes - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTTL
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Club Almagro - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Defensores de Belgrano - San Telmo	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Temperley - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.03.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Guillermo Brown	4:1
03.07.22	Guillermo Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3
21.08.21	Guillermo Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1
10.04.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Guillermo Brown	2:0
09.02.19	Defensores de Belgrano - Guillermo Brown	1:0

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