Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 7

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Broggi J. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		San Telmo

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.75
	2.6	2.95	2.65
	2.45	3	2.95	Watch
	2.85	2.97	2.84
	2.85	2.93	2.84
	2.6	3	2.7
	2.64	2.99	2.69	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.49)	2.97 ↓ (2.98)	2.77 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
34.8%

Draw
31.4%

San Telmo
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

30.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

31.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Brown de Adrogué - San Telmo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aguero F. (G) 4. Luque M. 2. Masuero A. (C) 6. Arrechea N. 3. Gamarra G. 8. Nouet M. 5. Desio G. 7. Lovazzano L. 10. Sproat M. 9. Buter L. 11. Pulicastro F.	1. Bustos B. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Gonzalez H. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Ayala R. 8. Franco E. 5. Ramirez G. (C) 7. Larthirigoyen I. 10. Fernandez A. 9. Tisera F. 11. Barreto J.
Substitutes
18. Benitez F. 17. Castillo L. 13. Herranz N. 19. Lopez B. 16. Modon S. 15. Patrizio T. 12. Peralta A. (G) 14. Pereyra N. 20. Salvaggio M.	19. Ayunta F. 16. Cosi J. 12. Enrico J. C. (G) 17. Gonzalez R. 20. Heiz N. 13. Lillo G. 18. Mayenfisch G. 14. Pollacchi L. 15. Yangali J.
Coaches
Vico P.	Grelak A.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Brown de Adrogué is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Telmo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.03.24	Chaco For Ever - Brown de Adrogué	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Club Almagro - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Brown de Adrogué	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Brown de Adrogué - Temperley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLT
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.03.24	San Telmo - Temperley	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Deportivo Morón - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	San Telmo - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
19.02.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	San Telmo - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.08.22	San Telmo - Brown de Adrogué	1:1
21.08.21	Brown de Adrogué - San Telmo	2:2
11.04.21	San Telmo - Brown de Adrogué	2:1

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