The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Telmo 36.8%
Draw 32.3%
Nueva Chicago 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
31.2%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
30.7%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.
Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nueva Chicago's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nueva Chicago, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Telmo - Nueva Chicago Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Dell Aquila N. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Morro N. 3. Sosa R. 8. Tello F. 5. Yangali J. (C) 10. Aguirre F. 11. Larthirigoyen I. 7. Porto J. 9. Cocimano S.
1. Ferrero F. (C) 4. Cortes F. 2. Rodriguez J. 6. Aguirre A. 3. Arroyo D. 8. Rodriguez T. 5. Mendez E. 11. Molinas I. A. 10. Cortes B. 7. Rodriguez I. 9. Maggi I.
Substitutes
16. Britez E. 18. Curcio N. 12. Enrico J. C. (G) 13. Formichelli S. 20. Ochoa J. 14. Ojeda L. 17. Salerno M. 15. Uriburu R. 19. Zurbriggen J.
15. Abello D. 19. Almaraz A. 12. Diaz L. (G) 14. Martinez A. 18. Mendoza J. 17. Montenegro M. 13. Motroni J. 16. Muscia G. 20. Vazquez L. I.
Coaches
Monasterio C.
Lotito G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Mendez E. ⚽, Molinas I. A. (A),
33', Molinas I. A. 🟨,
39', Mendez E. 🟨,
44', Cortes B. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Cocimano S. ⚽, Sosa R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Arroyo D. ↓, Abello D. ↑,
57', Rodriguez I. ↓, Muscia G. ↑,
70', Aguirre F. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
75', Tello F. ↓, Britez E. ↑,
76', Molinas I. A. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Maggi I. ⚽, Cortes B. (A),
80', Larthirigoyen I. ↓, Salerno M. ↑,
80', Porto J. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Ochoa J. ⚽,
87', Maggi I. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 3.
San Telmo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nueva Chicago is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
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