Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 34

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Broń Radom		Warta Sieradz

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.55	1.92
	2.84	3.94	1.98
	2.91	4.19	1.96	Watch
	3.1	3.5	1.91
	3.26	3.76	1.89	Watch
	3.55	4	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.55)	3.82 ↓ (4)	1.89 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Broń Radom
28.7%

Draw
23.6%

Warta Sieradz
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

22.1%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

21.6%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Broń Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Warta Sieradz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Sieradz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warta Sieradz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Broń Radom - Warta Sieradz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Owczarek D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 3.

Broń Radom has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Warta Sieradz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Broń Radom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Warta Sieradz is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Broń Radom won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warta Sieradz	10	4	3	3	18:16	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.05.26	Wasilków - Broń Radom	1:4 ✺
17.05.26	Broń Radom - Legia II	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Broń Radom	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Broń Radom - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTL
- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.05.26	Warta Sieradz - Wigry Suwałki	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Wikielec - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Wasilków - Warta Sieradz	0:3 ✺
30.04.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Warta Sieradz - Broń Radom	3:0
16.05.25	Broń Radom - Warta Sieradz	1:0
19.10.24	Warta Sieradz - Broń Radom	0:1
25.05.24	Warta Sieradz - Broń Radom	2:0
03.11.23	Broń Radom - Warta Sieradz	1:0
15.04.23	Broń Radom - Warta Sieradz	2:1
10.09.22	Warta Sieradz - Broń Radom	0:4

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