Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 31

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Ząbkovia Ząbki		Broń Radom

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.5	2.78
	2.2	3.67	2.61
	2.14	3.75	2.79	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.7
	2.22	3.71	2.78	Watch
	2.4	3.38	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.4)	3.55 ↑ (3.38)	2.68 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ząbkovia Ząbki
40.9%

Draw
25.4%

Broń Radom
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

24.6%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ząbkovia Ząbki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Broń Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Ząbkovia Ząbki - Broń Radom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Ząbkovia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ząbkovia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zabki	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16

Last Results with these Odds

Broń Radom - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 36.9%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.05.26	Legia II - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wasilków	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wisła Płock II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.05.26	Broń Radom - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Broń Radom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.10.25	Broń Radom - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:2

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