Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 1

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play
World	Fanatiz


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3	2.75
	2.31	2.65	2.9
	2.31	3	3.11	Watch
	2.3	3.08	3.09
	2.31	2.65	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.65)	2.88 ↑ (2.85)	2.95 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
38.6%

Draw
31.1%

Brusque
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

31%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Marcílio Dias's performance.

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brusque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erivelton (G) 8. Bonassa 10. Brendon Sobral 5. Felipe Manoel 11. Geovany Soares 9. Gustavo Modesto 7. Levi 4. Lucas Costa 6. Marquinhos Pedroso 3. Silvio (C) 2. Victor Guilherme	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 7. Biel Fonseca 24. Diego Mathias 2. Everton Alemao 3. Ianson 97. Mateus Pivo 8. Paulinho 94. Paulinho Moccelin 99. Robinho 5. Rodolfo Potiguar (C) 4. Torres J.
Substitutes
12. Anderson (G) 21. Danilo Nazare 15. Felipe Baiano 22. Felipe Santos 16. Gerson 19. Gustavo Poffo 24. Italo 20. Juninho Tardelli 14. Luan 13. Milani	40. Artur 33. Dionatan 12. Graff L. 70. Henrique Z. 29. Japa 19. Marcos Serrato 77. Neto 9. Pollero R. 15. Reis L. 10. Robinho 80. Vinicius 28. Vithor J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Biel Fonseca 🟨,
39', Marquinhos Pedroso 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Diego Mathias 🟨,
60', Felipe Manoel ↓, Felipe Baiano ↑,
60', Gustavo Modesto ↓, Gustavo Poffo ↑,
62', Biel Fonseca ↓, Robinho ↑,
62', Paulinho ↓, Marcos Serrato ↑,
66', Brendon Sobral ↓, Juninho Tardelli ↑,
71', Robinho ↓, Pollero R. ↑,
73', Levi ↓, Denner ↑,
73', Marquinhos Pedroso ↓, Felipe Santos ↑,
75', Diego Mathias ↓, Neto ↑,
89', 🟨,
89', Mateus Pivo 🟨,
89', Ianson 🟨,
90', Rodolfo Potiguar 🟥,
90+5', Neto 🟨,

Last Results with these Odds

Brusque - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 35.59%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
16.11.24	Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
12.11.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Concórdia	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Hercílio Luz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:2 penalties ✺
27.10.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Hercílio Luz	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWTT
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.24	América Mineiro - Brusque	3:0 ✺
17.11.24	Brusque - Guarani	2:1 ✺
11.11.24	Paysandu - Brusque	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Brusque - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Brusque - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
17.03.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque	0:1 penalties
08.03.24	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1
02.03.24	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	4:1
18.02.23	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque	0:0
Club Friendly
11.01.23	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.02.22	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:2
24.02.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque	1:2

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