Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Referee: Vollkopf P. (Bra)


	Londrina		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.1
	2.23	3	3.15
	2.41	2.9	3
	2.5	3	3.33
	2.4	2.9	3.1
	2.43	3.08	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.38)	2.97 ↑ (2.8)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
39%

Draw
31.3%

Brusque
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

33.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

34.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Londrina - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Brusque will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Londrina: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 12).

The competitors look crappy now.

Brusque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.22	Bahia - Londrina	4:0 ✺
29.04.22	Londrina - Vila Nova	2:2 ✺
26.04.22	Cruzeiro - Londrina	1:0 ✺
21.04.22	Londrina - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
14.04.22	Criciúma - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
05.05.22	Brusque - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
30.04.22	Ponte Preta - Brusque	2:0 ✺
26.04.22	Brusque - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Brusque	3:1 ✺
12.04.22	Cruzeiro - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.08.21	Brusque - Londrina	0:0
05.06.21	Londrina - Brusque	0:1
Brazilian Serie C
14.11.20	Londrina - Brusque	2:1
01.10.20	Brusque - Londrina	2:1

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