Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.3
	3.4	2.8	2.1
	3.25	2.95	2.17
	3.75	2.51	2.38
	3.2	2.75	2.35
	4.15	2.43	2.45
	3.25	3	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.86)	2.79 ↓ (3.22)	2.29 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
26.5%

Draw
33.1%

Ponte Preta
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

28.4%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

27.7%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Brasil de Pelotas - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 0.

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponte Preta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ponte Preta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
04.03.23	Brasil de Pelotas - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Cordino - Brasil de Pelotas	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.02.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Avenida	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Ypiranga - Brasil de Pelotas	2:2 ✺
11.02.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTTL
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
04.03.23	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Ponte Preta	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
25.02.23	EC Lemense - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
22.02.23	Ponte Preta - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa Santista	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.09.21	Ponte Preta - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
25.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Ponte Preta	1:1
13.11.20	Ponte Preta - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1
11.08.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Ponte Preta	1:1
26.11.19	Ponte Preta - Brasil de Pelotas	4:0
27.08.19	Brasil de Pelotas - Ponte Preta	1:0
25.09.18	Ponte Preta - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1

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