Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: Fernandes Trigueiro Filho L. (Bra)


	Brusque		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4.6
	1.79	3.15	4.5
	1.82	3.2	4.4
	1.82	3.31	5.41
	1.83	3.1	4.75
	1.81	3.3	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.7)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	4.72 ↓ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
51.3%

Draw
29%

Sampaio Corrêa
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

28.4%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

29.5%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.1%	34%	14.9%

Brusque - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 24 - 51.1%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 7 - 14.9%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 34%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brusque: 36.8% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Brusque is a favorite.

There will not play in Brusque: Crislan (Injury) Diego Jardel (Injury) Luiz Antonio (Injury) Sandro (Injury) Toty (Injury)

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Eloir (Injury) Gabriel Furtado (Injury) Luiz Daniel (Injury) Mauricio (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
30.07.22	Brusque - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
24.07.22	Guarani - Brusque	1:1 ✺
19.07.22	Brusque - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	CRB Maceio - Brusque	1:1 ✺
06.07.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTTTL
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
29.07.22	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
22.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Sport Recife	4:1 ✺
19.07.22	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
16.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	3:1 ✺
09.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.04.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Brusque	3:1
21.09.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Brusque	2:2
22.06.21	Brusque - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0

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