Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CATARINENSE - ROUND 9

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)


	Brusque		Camboriú

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.1	4.8
	1.62	3.05	5.5
	1.64	3.13	6.16
	1.66	3.3	5.55
	1.7	3.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.66)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)	5.38 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
54.6%

Draw
28.5%

Camboriú
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

29.4%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

28%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Camboriú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camboriú than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Brusque - Camboriú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Brusque is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Camboriú is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brusque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brusque is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brusque won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Copa do Brasil
22.02.23	Marília - Brusque	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
18.02.23	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Avaí - Brusque	1:1 ✺
08.02.23	Brusque - Concórdia	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Brusque - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTTT
- Camboriú FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
15.02.23	Camboriú - Criciúma	0:3 ✺
12.02.23	Camboriú - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
09.02.23	Chapecoense - Camboriú	3:1 ✺
05.02.23	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Camboriú	1:0 ✺
25.01.23	Camboriú - Concórdia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.04.22	Brusque - Camboriú	0:0
30.03.22	Camboriú - Brusque	1:1
27.01.22	Brusque - Camboriú	0:0
20.03.16	Camboriú - Brusque	3:2
10.02.16	Brusque - Camboriú	1:0

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