Match Info

Catarinense - Losers Play Offs - Final

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)


	Camboriú		Criciúma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.53	3.54	1.61
	4.37	3.34	1.85	Watch
	5	3.25	1.65
	5.64	3.5	1.57
	4.6	3.6	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (4.6)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camboriú
18.2%

Draw
26.6%

Criciúma
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.1%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

24.1%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camboriú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camboriú than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Camboriú - Criciúma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vava (G) 18. Alysson Dutra 5. Choco 23. Danilo Mendes 2. Gabriel Bessan 14. Hygor 10. Mansur 11. Nilton 16. Reginaldo 26. Silva (C) 7. Wermeson	1. Alisson (G) 5. Eduardo 8. Guilherme Lobo 10. Jhonata Robert 4. Luciano Castan 22. Marcelo Hermes 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 3. Rodrigo (C) 13. Waguininho 2. Willean Lepo
Substitutes
3. Daniel Blanco 22. Julio Cesar (G) 13. Junior Santos 9. Kaka 17. Kennedy 25. Leo Vieira 12. Lucas Gomes (G) 20. Macias J. 19. Mikael Mendes 8. Nadson 21. Ricardinho 27. Silva M.	18. Bidu 11. Diego Goncalves 17. Eliel Costa 7. Hiago Alves 15. Jean Irmer 21. Joao Carlos 16. Leo Mana 14. Ruan Carvalho 20. Sandry 12. Santos P. (G) 19. Thales

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Eduardo 🟨,
39', Gabriel Bessan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Willean Lepo ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
46', Gabriel Bessan ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
55', 🟨,
55', Eduardo 🟥,
56', 1 - 0, Danilo Mendes ⚽,
61', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
62', Nicolas ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
65', Marcelo Hermes ↓, Hiago Alves ↑,
70', Mansur ↓, Kaka ↑,
75', Nilton ↓, Macias J. ↑,
75', Choco ↓, Nadson ↑,
85', Wermeson ↓, Silva M. ↑,
87', Jhonata Robert ↓, Sandry ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Camboriú won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Criciúma is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Camboriú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 1.3:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Camboriú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.8:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camboriú FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
28.02.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Camboriú	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Avaí - Camboriú	0:2 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLTWL
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
28.02.26	Brusque - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Criciúma - Concórdia	4:0 ✺
12.02.26	Concórdia - Criciúma	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Chapecoense - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Criciúma - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.01.26	Camboriú - Criciúma	1:2
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
04.10.25	Camboriú - Criciúma	3:3
14.09.25	Criciúma - Camboriú	3:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
15.02.23	Camboriú - Criciúma	0:3
09.04.16	Criciúma - Camboriú	5:0
18.02.16	Camboriú - Criciúma	3:5

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