Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck (Rio do Sul)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Santa Catarina |
|
Joinville |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.06 |
2.88 |
3.86 |
|
 |
2.14 |
2.73 |
3.94 |
 Watch |
 |
2 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
|
 |
2.04 |
2.86 |
3.82 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.14) |
2.82 ↓
(2.93) |
3.81 ↑
(3.45) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santa Catarina
44% | Draw
32.2% | Joinville
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+1.6%)Santa Catarina - Joinville Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Botelho P. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Santa Catarina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Joinville has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Joinville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Santa Catarina has had a series of away games. Santa Catarina might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Catarina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).Including home match between the teams, Santa Catarina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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