Match Info

K League 2 - Round 14

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Hwaseong Stadium (Hwaseong)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Hwaseong		Gyeongnam

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.14	3.25	3.61
	2.09	3.28	3.48	Watch
	2.1	2.88	3.4
	2.08	3.02	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.14)	3.11 ↓ (3.17)	3.45 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
43.8%

Draw
29.5%

Gyeongnam
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gyeongnam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Hwaseong - Gyeongnam Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hwaseong will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim S. (G) 20. Park Jun-seo 15. Vojnovic A. 4. Jang Min-jun 22. Kim D. 8. Jeon S. 92. Lee Jong-Sung (C) 17. Park Kyung-Min 11. Pllana L. 14. Kim Byung-Oh 7. Jegal Jae-Min	25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 8. Lee Chan-Dong 26. Choi Jung-Won (C) 27. Son Ho-Jun 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 23. Kwon Gi-Pyo 2. Bae Hyun-Seo 21. Cho Jin-Hyuk 9. Darnlei 10. Mbah C.
Substitutes
3. Cho Dong-Jae 10. Demethryus 44. Ham Sun-Woo 6. Kim Jung-Min 79. Lim Byeong-hun 30. Mun Geon-Ho 38. Park E. (G) 13. Park Jae-Seong 9. Petrov S.	66. Cho Sang-Jun 30. Jeong Hyeon-wook 90. Kim Hyeon-oh 18. Kim Seon-Ho 20. Lee Gyu-Baeg 99. Lee Jung-Min 13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 6. Lim Eun-Su 24. Yun Il-Lok
Coaches
Cha Du-Ri	Bae Sung-jae .

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Mbah C. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Park Kyung-Min ⚽, Pllana L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mbah C. ↓, Lim Eun-Su ↑,
46', Lee Chan-Dong ↓, Cho Sang-Jun ↑,
46', Choi Jung-Won ↓, Lee Gyu-Baeg ↑,
47', Park Kyung-Min 🟨,
52', Son Ho-Jun 🟨,
55', Kim Byung-Oh ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
63', Cho Jin-Hyuk ↓, Kim Hyeon-oh ↑,
63', Bae Hyun-Seo ↓, Yun Il-Lok ↑,
65', Jegal Jae-Min ↓, Demethryus ↑,
65', Jeon S. ↓, Park Jae-Seong ↑,
66', Kim D. 🟨,
81', 2 - 0, Demethryus ⚽,
87', Kim D. ↓, Ham Sun-Woo ↑,
87', Pllana L. ↓, Lim Byeong-hun ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

Hwaseong is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gyeongnam is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hwaseong could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hwaseong won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hwaseong won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hwaseong	26	12	8	6	41:27	14	44
9	Gyeongnam	25	8	10	7	31:30	1	34

Last Results with these Odds

Gyeongnam - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.91%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
23.05.26	Cheongju - Hwaseong	2:3 ✺
17.05.26	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Hwaseong - Suwon	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Hwaseong - Ansan Greeners	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Seoul E-Land - Hwaseong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WWTWW
- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
23.05.26	Gyeongnam - Suwon	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gyeongnam - Gimhae	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Daegu - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gyeongnam	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
08.11.25	Hwaseong - Gyeongnam	0:1
07.06.25	Gyeongnam - Hwaseong	0:1
08.03.25	Hwaseong - Gyeongnam	1:1
South Korean Cup
03.07.19	Gyeongnam - Hwaseong	1:2
29.03.17	Hwaseong - Gyeongnam	0:1

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