The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Holyhead Hotspur 32.8%
Draw 24.7%
Caersws 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
24.7%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
23.9%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holyhead Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
The chances for Caersws have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Holyhead Hotspur - Caersws Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 6th).
Holyhead is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Caersws is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Holyhead could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Holyhead has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Holyhead against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.
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