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Current Win Probability
Holyhead Hotspur 34.8%
Draw 24.9%
Caersws 40.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.9%
24.7%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
23.9%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holyhead Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Holyhead Hotspur - Caersws Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Hughes G. (Own goal),
37', 1 - 1, Williams J. L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th and 6th).
Recent results have been tough for Holyhead (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Caersws shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Caersws may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Holyhead has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Holyhead against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.
Watch
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