Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Dartford		Burgess Hill Town

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.95	3.7
	1.72	4.21	3.74
	1.67	3.92	4.11
	1.73	3.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.65)	4 ↑ (3.85)	3.85 (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
53.5%

Draw
22.8%

Burgess Hill Town
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Burgess Hill Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Dartford - Burgess Hill Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dartford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Box O. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Jones C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', 2 - 1, Allen M. ⚽,
63', Spinks J. 🟥,
70', 2 - 2, Allen M. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Odaudu S. ⚽,
86', Box O. 🟥,
90+3', 3 - 3, Whelpdale Ch. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18).

Dartford is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burgess Hill has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dartford is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dartford won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Dartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.09.25	Dartford - Cheshunt	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Aveley - Dartford	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Dartford - Canvey Island	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Ramsgate - Dartford	4:4 ✺
23.08.25	Dartford - Carshalton Athletic	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTTW
- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.09.25	Burgess Hill Town - Carshalton Athletic	2:4 ✺
20.09.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Burgess Hill Town - Farnham Town	1:3 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.09.25	Cheshunt - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Lewes - Burgess Hill Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.10.17	Burgess Hill Town - Dartford	0:1
English FA Trophy
10.01.15	Burgess Hill Town - Dartford	1:2
English FA Cup
25.10.14	Dartford - Burgess Hill Town	3:1

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