Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Etayo G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Burgos		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.05	4.5	Watch
	2	3	4.05	Watch
	2.02	3.11	4.62
	1.98	3.13	4.36	Watch
	2	2.9	4
	1.96	3.11	4.75	Watch
	1.96	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.24)	3.04 ↓ (3.14)	4.4 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
47.6%

Draw
31%

Albacete Balompié
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgos's performance.

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albacete Balompié might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albacete Balompié could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	14.3%	4.8%

Burgos - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 17 - 81%). Albacete will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 64.2% – 97.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 18. Cordoba A. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. 10. Appin K. 16. Curro 20. Gonzalez M.	1. Marino D. (G) 2. Lorenzo 23. Pepe 24. Vallejo J. 21. Neva C. 3. Jogo 22. Morcillo J. 8. Rodriguez R. 6. Pacheco A. 11. Valverde V. 19. Escriche D.
Substitutes
15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 21. Cordoba I. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 31. Garcia F. 22. Martinez B. 36. Martinez I. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 9. Nino F. 1. Ruiz J. (G)	4. Agus Medina 27. Bernabeu D. 10. Betancor J. 26. Capi 15. Gamez F. 14. Garcia H. J. 16. Lazo J. 13. Lizoain R. (G) 17. Melendez A. 5. Moreno J. 35. Morientes Palencia A.
Coaches
Ramis L.	Gonzalez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Miguel F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez M. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
46', Appin K. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
63', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
69', Escriche D. ↓, Betancor J. ↑,
69', Morcillo J. ↓, Lazo J. ↑,
74', Curro ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
78', Jogo 🟨,
79', Lorenzo ↓, Gamez F. ↑,
79', Valverde V. ↓, Agus Medina ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Betancor J. ⚽, Pepe (A),
84', Morante I. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
85', Garcia F. 🟨,
88', Jogo ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
90+3', Lizancos A. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Burgos will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Albacete: Agus Medina (Muscle Injury) Marin H. (Ankle Injury) Puertas A. (Yellow Cards) Villar J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Albacete Balompié - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 27.71%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Ceuta - Burgos	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Burgos - Racing Santander	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Mirandés - Burgos	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Burgos - Castellón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWT
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Albacete Balompié - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Eibar - Albacete Balompié	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.03.25	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	1:0
21.10.24	Albacete Balompié - Burgos	2:0
28.01.24	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	2:1
16.09.23	Albacete Balompié - Burgos	2:1
19.02.23	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	1:1
20.08.22	Albacete Balompié - Burgos	0:0

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