Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Ceuta		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.98	3.4	Watch
	2.36	2.95	3.77
	2.44	3.02	3.16	Watch
	2.3	3.06	3.57	Watch
	2.28	2.85	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.44)	2.97 ↓ (3.02)	3.5 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
41.2%

Draw
31.8%

Burgos
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

31.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

33.1%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Ceuta - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Burgos (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 23. Anuar 6. Hernandez C. (C) 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Matos Jose 19. Jamelli 14. Bodiger Y. 10. Rodriguez C. 7. Ahmed A. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.	13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 18. Cordoba A. (C) 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 11. Mollejo V. 17. Cantero M. 5. Atienza M. 21. Cordoba I. 16. Curro 9. Nino F.
Substitutes
17. Almenara G. 24. Cantero Y. 4. Caparros A. 18. de la Fuente K. 20. Escudero A. 1. Lopez P. (G) 12. Obeng S. 11. Ortuno J. 28. Peri 16. Redruello Nimo C. 21. Vallejo M. 8. Zalazar K.	10. Appin K. 15. Bunuel A. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 31. Garcia F. 20. Gonzalez M. 22. Martinez B. 36. Martinez I. 7. Mejia M. 37. Monedero M. (G) 34. Nsukula G. 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
Romero J.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Hernandez C. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Matos Jose ⚽, Kone K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cantero M. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
46', Mollejo V. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
47', Anuar 🟨,
49', Sierra G. 🟨,
64', Atienza M. 🟨,
67', Cordoba I. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
71', Miguel F. 🟨,
77', Anuar ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
77', Ahmed A. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
82', Curro ↓, Appin K. ↑,
83', Rodriguez C. ↓, Zalazar K. ↑,
83', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
85', Obeng S. 🟨,
86', Matos Jose 🟨,
89', Kone K. ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
90', Redruello Nimo C. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent performances by Ceuta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burgos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ceuta could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Injury) Sanchez S. (Injury) Vallejo M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Yellow Cards) Morante I. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Ceuta: Ahmed A. (Injury) Bassinga A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Burgos: Cordoba I. (Injury) Gonzalez S. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
26.11.25	Ceuta - Almería	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ceuta - Leganés	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Córdoba - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	La Unión - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Burgos - Racing Santander	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Mirandés - Burgos	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Burgos - Castellón	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Leganés - Burgos	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTWW

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