The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zaragoza 32.4%
Draw 32.1%
Burgos 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
30.6%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
32.1%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zaragoza's form might have worsened.
Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
40%
30%
Zaragoza - Burgos Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Burgos (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 20. Aguirregabiria M. 36. Gomes A. 18. El Yamiq J. 27. Larios J. 26. Mensah M. 34. Terrer L. 14. Francho (C) 11. Gonzalez R. 23. Cuenca M. A. 9. Gomez D.
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 28. del Cerro S. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. (C) 21. Cordoba I. 10. Appin K. 16. Curro
Substitutes
22. Agada W. 24. Akouokou P. 32. Barrachina H. 25. Cumic N. 19. Kodro K. 17. Moyano F. 31. Pinilla H. 16. Radovanovic A. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 7. Soberon M. 3. Tasende D.
15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 33. Exposito M. 4. Galdames P. 31. Garcia F. 35. Gonzalez D. (G) 20. Gonzalez M. 3. Luengo O. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
Selles R.
Ramis L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Gomes A. 🟨,
25', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Cuenca M. A. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
57', Gonzalez R. ↓, Cumic N. ↑,
57', Gomes A. ↓, Barrachina H. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Appin K. ⚽, Morante I. (A),
66', Larios J. 🟨,
69', Curro ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
69', Appin K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
69', Morante I. 🟨,
72', Terrer L. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
75', Cordoba I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
75', Morante I. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
78', Larios J. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
83', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
84', Mensah M. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 0.
Zaragoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Burgos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Zaragoza: Bakis S.
(Muscle Injury)
Bare K.
(Injury)
Carbonell L.
(Knee Injury)
Guti R.
(Injury)
Insua P.
(Red Card)
Kodro K.
(Injury)
Moya T.
(Inactive)
Pomares C.
(Injury)
Radovanovic A.
(Inactive)
Saidu Y.
(Inactive)
de la Fuente P.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Burgos: Sierra G.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Burgos CF
8
4
2
2
12:9
3
14
Last Results with these Odds
Zaragoza - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.34%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Burgos - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 30.09%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Chile
Ecuador
Mexico
North-central-america
Peru
South-america
Spain
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Andrada E. (G) 
Aguirregabiria M. 
El Yamiq J. 
Mensah M. 
Miguel F. 
Appin K. 
Agada W. 
Akouokou P. 
Cumic N. 
Kodro K. 
Galdames P. 
Mejia M. 
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