Match Info

Date: 15 May 2021, Saturday


	Burgos		Calahorra

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.95	4.6
	1.76	3	4.7
	1.83	2.9	4.33
	1.89	2.94	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)	2.95 (2.95)	4.58 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
49.5%

Draw
30.8%

Calahorra
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

29.9%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

20.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calahorra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burgos - Calahorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Burgos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Calahorra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Burgos is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Burgos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.21	Burgos - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
02.05.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - Burgos	1:0 ✺
25.04.21	Burgos - Zamora	3:0 ✺
18.04.21	Celta de Vigo B - Burgos	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Burgos - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWTW
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.05.21	Calahorra - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
02.05.21	Real Sociedad B - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
25.04.21	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
17.04.21	Amorebieta - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Calahorra - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.02.20	Calahorra - Burgos	0:3
15.09.19	Burgos - Calahorra	0:1
Club Friendly
07.08.19	Calahorra - Burgos	0:2
15.08.18	Calahorra - Burgos	2:1 penalties

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