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Burgos - Castellón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga2 - Round 13
  • Date: 10 November 2025, Monday
  • Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)
  • Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Burgos Castellón
    Burgos Castellón
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 2.57 2.85 2.85 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
    betsson 2.58 3 2.82
    Bet_in_Asia 2.7 3.04 3
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.61 ↑
    (2.53)    		 3.05 ↓
    (3.26)    		 2.89 ↑
    (2.81)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Burgos
    36.2%    		Draw
    31.1%    		Castellón
    32.7%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    37.4% 29% 33.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    37.2% 29.2% 33.8%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    84.6% 11.5% 3.8%

    Burgos - Castellón Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 43 - 86%). Castellón will win (votes: 1 - 2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 76.4% – 95.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.64) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DC - Castellón (1.45) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DNB - Burgos (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Burgos (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burgos will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Castellón (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. SpainCantero A. (G)
      2. SpainLizancos A.
    18. SpainCordoba A. (C)
      8. SpainSierra G.
    22. SpainMartinez B.
    21. SpainCordoba I.
    23. SpainMorante I.
      5. SpainAtienza M.
    14. SpainGonzalez Ballesteros D.
      9. SpainNino F.
    16. SpainCurro
    		13. BelgiumMatthys R. (G)
    22. FranceMellot J.
      5. SpainJimenez A.
    17. SpainRuiz S. (C)
      7. AustraliaMabil A.
      8. SpainBarri
    15. SpainGerenabarrena B.
    12. SpainAlcazar
    21. SpainCalatrava A.
      9. GuineaCamara O.
    10. SpainSuero I.
    Substitutes
    10. MartiniqueAppin K.
    15. SpainBunuel A.
    17. SpainCantero M.
    28. Spaindel Cerro S.
    33. SpainExposito M.
    31. SpainGarcia F.
    35. SpainGonzalez D. (G)
    20. SpainGonzalez M.
      6. SpainGonzalez S.
      7. ColombiaMejia M.
    11. SpainMollejo V.
      1. SpainRuiz J. (G)
    		  1. IranAbedzadeh A. (G)
    11. BrazilAurelio D.
      3. ItalyBrignani F.
    29. ItalyDe Nipoti T.
    14. SpainGil O.
    19. DenmarkJakobsen A.
    20. USAMarkanich N.
    25. BrazilRonaldo
    18. SpainSantiago P.
      4. ArgentinaSienra A.
    26. SpainTincho
    55. PolandWillman M.
    Coaches
         SpainRamis L.
    		     SpainHernandez P.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 1', Suero I. 🟨,
    • 16', Jimenez A. 🟨,
    • 27', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 🟨,
    • 30', Cordoba I. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 59', Cordoba I. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
    • 59', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
    • 65', Ruiz S. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
    • 65', Suero I. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
    • 75', Curro ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
    • 75', Martinez B. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
    • 79', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
    • 84', Calatrava A. ↓, Aurelio D. ↑,
    • 84', Camara O. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
    • 86', Nino F. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,

    Preview

  • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
  • Burgos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Castellón has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Miguel F. (Yellow Cards)
  • There will not play in Castellón: Camara O. (Inactive) Cipenga B. (Inactive) Doue M. (Red Card) Serpeta (Injury)
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
  • Including home match between the teams, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Burgos CF
    Spanish LaLiga2
    01.11.25 Leganés - Burgos 1:2 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    28.10.25 Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos 1:2 ET ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2
    25.10.25 Burgos - Real Sociedad B 1:0 ✺
    20.10.25 Cádiz - Burgos 1:3 ✺
    12.10.25 Burgos - Valladolid 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7
    WWWWL
    - CD Castellón
    Spanish LaLiga2
    02.11.25 Castellón - Málaga 2:1 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    30.10.25 Antoniano - Castellón 1:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2
    26.10.25 Almería - Castellón 1:0 ✺
    19.10.25 Castellón - Albacete Balompié 0:1 ✺
    12.10.25 Eibar - Castellón 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1
    WLLLT
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga2
    01.03.25 Castellón - Burgos 2:1
    01.09.24 Burgos - Castellón 0:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Burgos CF
    Spanish LaLiga2
    12.10.26 Burgos - Granada ✺
    - CD Castellón
    Spanish LaLiga2
    11.10.26 FC Andorra - Castellón ✺

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