Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 3d 23h 📅 Remind Me


	Burgos		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.96	Watch
	3.25	3.40	2.00
	3.45	3.35	2
	3.78	3.45	2.11
	3.64	3.38	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.02
	3.57	3.49	2.11
	3.55	3.45	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	3.4 ↑ (3.38)	2.03 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
26.4%

Draw
27.5%

Castellón
46.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.3%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.3%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Burgos - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Castellón will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 1st in the Promotion - LaLiga).

Burgos has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Castellón is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Castellón may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Castellón is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Burgos has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Burgos against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Castellon	11	8	2	1	22:4	18	26
6	Burgos CF	11	6	2	3	16:12	4	20

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Castellon: 16.92% Burgos CF: 4.73%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.26	FC Andorra - Burgos	2:3 ✺
18.10.26	Burgos - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
12.10.26	Burgos - Granada	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Almería - Burgos	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Burgos - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLLW
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.26	Castellón - Sporting de Gijón	4:0 ✺
17.10.26	Las Palmas - Castellón	0:3 ✺
11.10.26	FC Andorra - Castellón	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Castellón - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
28.09.26	Leganés - Castellón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.04.26	Castellón - Burgos	3:1
10.11.25	Burgos - Castellón	0:0
01.03.25	Castellón - Burgos	2:1
01.09.24	Burgos - Castellón	0:2

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