Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Perez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Burgos		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.82	2.82	Watch
	2.70	2.85	2.65
	2.60	2.95	2.65	Watch
	2.90	2.90	2.93
	2.93	2.83	2.79	Watch
	2.80	2.80	2.85
	2.95	2.94	2.76
	2.90	2.85	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.45)	2.87 ↓ (2.99)	2.77 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
33.4%

Draw
32.7%

Sabadell
33.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Burgos - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 8th and 6th in the Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Sabadell could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Sabadell: Fornes G. (Injury) Gioacchini N. (Injury) Gonzalez E. (Red Card) Moreno X. (Injury) Nuamah P. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Burgos: Exposito M. (Injury).

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sabadell	9	4	4	1	10:7	3	16
9	Burgos CF	9	4	2	3	12:10	2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Burgos - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.94%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.26	Burgos - Granada	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Almería - Burgos	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Burgos - Eldense	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Burgos - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWWW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
10.10.26	Ceuta - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Sabadell - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Celta de Vigo B - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sabadell - Real Oviedo	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Mallorca - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTWL

Burgos - Sabadell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide