Match Info

Date: 10 February 2021, Wednesday


	Burgos		Valladolid B

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	5.5
	1.6	3.35	5.8
	1.62	3.25	5.4
	1.65	3.53	5.98
	1.65	3.3	5.5
	1.61	3.56	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.72)	3.38 ↑ (3.13)	5.62 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
56.6%

Draw
27.1%

Valladolid B
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

29.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

18.1%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Valladolid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-23.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burgos - Valladolid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Postponed due to safety reasons.

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Second stage)).

Burgos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Valladolid B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burgos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Burgos have a series of home games.

In this match Burgos is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.02.21	Burgos - Covadonga	2:2 ✺
31.01.21	Langreo - Burgos	1:2 ✺
23.01.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Burgos	0:2 ✺
10.01.21	Burgos - Real Oviedo B	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Burgos - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWL
- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.02.21	Valladolid B - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
03.02.21	Valladolid B - Sporting de Gijón B	0:2 ✺
30.01.21	Covadonga - Valladolid B	1:3 ✺
23.01.21	Valladolid B - Langreo	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Real Oviedo B - Valladolid B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.10.20	Valladolid B - Burgos	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.11.19	Burgos - Valladolid B	0:1
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Valladolid B - Burgos	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.04.19	Burgos - Valladolid B	1:0
09.12.18	Valladolid B - Burgos	1:0
26.03.17	Burgos - Valladolid B	0:0
02.11.16	Valladolid B - Burgos	4:2

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