Match Info

Date: 31 January 2021, Sunday


	Langreo		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.8	2.35
	2.88	2.88	2.5
	3.05	2.85	2.31
	3.22	3.05	2.4
	3.2	2.8	2.38
	3.06	3.05	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.83)	2.91 ↑ (2.86)	2.38 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langreo
29.9%

Draw
31.5%

Burgos
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

31.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

23.4%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Langreo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Langreo - Burgos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Langreo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Burgos is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Langreo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Langreo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Langreo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.01.21	Valladolid B - Langreo	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Langreo - Real Oviedo B	2:2 ✺
10.01.21	Langreo - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Langreo - Covadonga	3:2 ✺
12.12.20	Numancia - Langreo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTTWL
- Burgos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.01.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Burgos	0:2 ✺
10.01.21	Burgos - Real Oviedo B	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Burgos - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
16.12.20	Burgos - Andorra	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.12.20	Lealtad - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.11.20	Burgos - Langreo	0:2
19.04.15	Langreo - Burgos	1:1
30.11.14	Burgos - Langreo	1:0

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