Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday


	Burgos		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	1.35	4	7.5
	1.25	5	8.5
	1.32	4.4	8
	1.33	5.07	8.98
	1.32	4.6	9
	1.34	4.65	8.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)	4.62 ↑ (4.11)	8.38 ↑ (7.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
69.3%

Draw
19.8%

Covadonga
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

22%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.6%

18.7%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Burgos - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group) and 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group)).

Burgos is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Covadonga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Burgos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Burgos is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Burgos to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
31.01.21	Langreo - Burgos	1:2 ✺
23.01.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Burgos	0:2 ✺
10.01.21	Burgos - Real Oviedo B	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Burgos - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
16.12.20	Burgos - Andorra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.02.21	Covadonga - Numancia	0:3 ✺
30.01.21	Covadonga - Valladolid B	1:3 ✺
17.01.21	Covadonga - Lealtad	2:0 ✺
19.12.20	Langreo - Covadonga	3:2 ✺
12.12.20	Leonesa - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.11.20	Covadonga - Burgos	1:2

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