Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 33

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Vega A. C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Denmark	TV2 Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Burgos		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.9	Watch
	2.45	2.87	2.87
	2.55	2.95	2.95	Watch
	2.75	2.94	3.06
	2.75	2.91	3.06
	2.67	2.92	2.96	Watch
	2.55	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.59)	2.94 ↑ (2.93)	2.96 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
36%

Draw
32.1%

Espanyol
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

32.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

32.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Espanyol aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	40%	25%

Burgos - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Espanyol will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Caro J. (G) 4. Arroyo A. 18. Aitor Cordoba 14. Elgezabal U. (C) 23. Matos Jose 11. Alex 5. Atienza M. 12. Appin K. 7. Ojeda D. 16. Curro 9. Nino F.	1. Garcia J. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 3. Gomez S. 6. Cabrera L. 14. Olivan B. 15. Gragera J. 7. Puado J. 21. Melamed N. 8. Bare K. 17. Jofre 11. Milla P.
Substitutes
1. Badiashile L. (G) 10. Bermejo A. 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 2. Gonzalez B. 8. Martin A. 21. Montiel J. 22. Munoz M. 20. Sierra G.	18. Aguado A. 22. Braithwaite M. 5. Calero F. 2. Gil O. 16. Lazo J. 13. Pacheco F. (G) 4. Ruiz V. 24. Sanchez R. 19. Sanchez S. 43. Soler K. 39. Valles G. 42. Venteo I. (G)
Coaches
Bolo	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Bare K. 🟨,
11', Curro 🟨,
39', Nino F. 🟨,
40', Bolo 🟥,
45+2', Caro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Milla P. 🟨,
59', Appin K. ↓, Sierra G. ↑,
65', Jofre ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
65', Milla P. ↓, Aguado A. ↑,
65', Melamed N. ↓, Braithwaite M. ↑,
68', Matos Jose 🟨,
75', Nino F. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
75', Ojeda D. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
78', Gragera J. 🟨,
78', Bare K. ↓, Lazo J. ↑,
87', Atienza M. ↓, Montiel J. ↑,
87', Alex ↓, Martin A. ↑,
90+2', Puado J. ↓, Valles G. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.24	Huesca - Burgos	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Burgos - Levante	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Eibar - Burgos	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Burgos - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Burgos - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTWWW
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
23.03.24	Espanyol - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Zaragoza - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Alcorcón - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Espanyol - Huesca	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Eibar - Espanyol	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.23	Espanyol - Burgos	3:3
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Burgos - Espanyol	0:2

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