Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Valladolid B		Burgos Promesas

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.7	9.8
	1.17	5.4	14.37
	1.23	4.88	14.13	Watch
	1.2	5.75	12
	1.19	5.15	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.33)	5.38 ↑ (4.8)	13.06 ↑ (7.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
76.1%

Draw
17%

Burgos Promesas
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

19.1%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

18.6%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valladolid B's performance.

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Valladolid B - Burgos Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Ivorra I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Burgos Promesas is Relegated to

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Valladolid B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valladolid B is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Valladolid B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Valladolid B	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Valladolid B - Langreo	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Lealtad - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
05.04.26	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	3:4 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Valladolid B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WWWLW
- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Salamanca	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Atlético Astorga - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:4 ✺
29.03.26	Lealtad - Burgos Promesas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.25	Burgos Promesas - Valladolid B	3:3
29.04.23	Burgos Promesas - Valladolid B	1:2
17.12.22	Valladolid B - Burgos Promesas	2:0
Club Friendly
11.08.21	Valladolid B - Burgos Promesas	2:2

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