Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Salamanca

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.8	1.55
	4.5	4.6	1.63
	4.25	4.52	1.59	Watch
	4.8	3.5	1.62
	5.12	3.74	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (4.19)	4.03 ↓ (4.41)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
19.5%

Draw
22.8%

Salamanca
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

20.9%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

19.3%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Burgos Promesas - Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Gassama S. 🟥,
57', 1 - 0, Ventosa E. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Delgado Quintana J. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Sagredo Garcia P. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Burgos Promesas is Relegated to

Burgos Promesas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salamanca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Burgos Promesas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Salamanca is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Salamanca - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.16%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.04.26	Atlético Astorga - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:4 ✺
29.03.26	Lealtad - Burgos Promesas	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Rayo Cantabria	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWLWT
- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.04.26	Salamanca - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Salamanca - Rayo Cantabria	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Langreo - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Salamanca - Bergantiños	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.25	Salamanca - Burgos Promesas	3:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
06.04.24	Burgos Promesas - Salamanca	1:2
19.11.23	Salamanca - Burgos Promesas	2:0

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