Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 36

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Burgos Promesas		Ciudad Rodrigo

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.9	5.25
	1.56	3.75	5.2
	1.6	3.73	5.2
	1.58	3.69	5.41	Watch
	1.55	3.54	5.83
	1.56	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.46)	3.73 ↓ (3.73)	5.35 ↓ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
58.5%

Draw
24.4%

Ciudad Rodrigo
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

24.4%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

23.6%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Ciudad Rodrigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos Promesas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad Rodrigo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Burgos Promesas - Ciudad Rodrigo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Menor J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Nino F. ⚽,
87', 3 - 0, Ribas I. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Ciudad Rodrigo had a set of guest games.

In this match, Burgos Promesas is the unquestionable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
20.04.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Bembibre - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Burgos Promesas - Arandina	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Atlético Astorga - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Palencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWTT
- Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
20.04.25	Laguna de Tenerife - Ciudad Rodrigo	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Ciudad Rodrigo - Leonesa B	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Palencia CA - Ciudad Rodrigo	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Atlético Mansillés - Ciudad Rodrigo	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Ciudad Rodrigo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
22.12.24	Ciudad Rodrigo - Burgos Promesas	1:1

Burgos Promesas - Ciudad Rodrigo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide