Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Atlético Tordesillas

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.28	2.8	3.3
	2.29	2.93	4.09
	2.24	2.66	3.78	Watch
	2.11	3.08	3.52
	2.28	2.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2)	2.87 ↓ (3.28)	3.52 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
41.5%

Draw
32.2%

Atlético Tordesillas
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26.8%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Atlético Tordesillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos Promesas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Burgos Promesas - Atlético Tordesillas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos Promesas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Menor J. ⚽,
57', 2 - 0, Menor J. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Lasme T. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tordesillas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Burgos Promesas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos Promesas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.05.25	Burgos Promesas - Arandina	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Arandina - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Burgos Promesas - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Atlético Mansillés - Burgos Promesas	3:1 ✺
01.05.25	Burgos Promesas - Ciudad Rodrigo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTLW
- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.05.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Mirandés B	0:0 ET ✺
17.05.25	Mirandés B - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Tordesillas	3:1 ✺
01.05.25	Briviesca - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Mojados	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
20.04.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1
07.12.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos Promesas	0:0
14.01.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos Promesas	3:0
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos Promesas	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
26.10.19	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Tordesillas	1:0
01.11.18	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos Promesas	3:0

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