Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Compostela		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.05	3.75
	1.98	3.15	4
	1.97	3.14	3.84	Watch
	1.99	3.23	3.9
	1.97	3.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.93)	3.12 ↓ (3.4)	3.85 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
46.6%

Draw
29.5%

Rayo Cantabria
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

19.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Rayo Cantabria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Compostela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Cantabria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Compostela - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Marquitos ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, Carrascal M. ⚽,
61', Tienza F. 🟥,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Compostela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rayo Cantabria has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Compostela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Compostela won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Compostela won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.02.25	Escobedo - Compostela	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Compostela - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ✺
02.02.25	Langreo - Compostela	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Pontevedra - Compostela	4:1 ✺
12.01.25	Compostela - Numancia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLLT
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.02.25	Rayo Cantabria - Valladolid B	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Real Ávila - Rayo Cantabria	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Rayo Cantabria - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Laredo - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Rayo Cantabria - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.10.24	Rayo Cantabria - Compostela	2:1
05.05.24	Rayo Cantabria - Compostela	3:1
07.01.24	Compostela - Rayo Cantabria	3:1
07.05.23	Rayo Cantabria - Compostela	2:1
07.01.23	Compostela - Rayo Cantabria	1:0

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