Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Marino de Luanco		Burgos Promesas

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.1	3.8
	1.78	3.25	4.15
	1.89	3.15	4.17
	1.87	3.16	4.23	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.87	3.1	4.14
	1.6	3.28	5.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.6)	3.15 ↓ (3.26)	4.32 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
50%

Draw
28.9%

Burgos Promesas
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

27.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

21.5%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marino de Luanco's form might have worsened.

Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos Promesas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marino de Luanco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-1%)

Marino de Luanco - Burgos Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Marino de Luanco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Burgos Promesas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marino de Luanco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marino de Luanco is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marino de Luanco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Marino de Luanco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.03.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
04.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Marino de Luanco	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Marino de Luanco - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Salamanca - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Marino de Luanco - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWTT
- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Numancia - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Langreo - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Burgos Promesas - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Burgos Promesas - Marino de Luanco	1:0
22.01.23	Marino de Luanco - Burgos Promesas	1:0
03.09.22	Burgos Promesas - Marino de Luanco	0:0

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