Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG


	Coruxo		Burgos Promesas

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.8
	1.58	3.6	5.15
	1.54	4.14	5.14	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.54	3.62	5.77
	1.46	4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)	3.76 ↑ (3.66)	5.48 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
59.2%

Draw
24.2%

Burgos Promesas
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

24.7%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Coruxo - Burgos Promesas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Coruxo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 3 - 0, Sola X. ⚽,
62', 4 - 0, Sola X. ⚽,
84', 5 - 0, Sola X. ⚽,
88', 5 - 1, Nsukula G. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Coruxo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Burgos Promesas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Coruxo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Coruxo is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Coruxo will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Coruxo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Coruxo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Coruxo FC	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	Rayo Cantabria - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Coruxo - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Valladolid B - Coruxo	0:3 ✺
23.11.25	Coruxo - Sámano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWTWW
- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Burgos Promesas - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Real Ávila - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Burgos Promesas - Valladolid B	3:3 ✺
30.11.25	Salamanca - Burgos Promesas	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Numancia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.03.23	Burgos Promesas - Coruxo	1:2
30.10.22	Coruxo - Burgos Promesas	1:2

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